Wednesday, November 08, 2006

Utah's 4th Congressional District Revisited

I've been looking at the vote totals for the three Utah congressional races yesterday and I understand better why the Democrats may opposed the Governonr's current redistricting plan to add a fourth congressional district in Utah.

By dividing Salt Lake County into northern and southern districts, you congregate the Democrats in the north district and Republicans in the south, virtually guaranteeing a seat to each party.

If, on the other hand, you divided Salt Lake County into east and west districts, you would have two competitive races, either or both of which could be won by the right Democratic candidate. (Finding one in addition to Matheson would be a challange, but it's theoretically possible).

Right now, SL county is divided into all three congressional districts. 39% of the vote in the three congressional races was in Salt Lake County and 58% of that vote went to democratic candidates, 37% to republicans, and 5% to Constitution, Libertarian, and Green candidates.

By dividing SL County into east/west districts, you would have a good base of people who are willilng to at least consider voting for a Democratic candidate in each district.

For this reason, the east west divide is surely DOA in the State Capital, but it would make for a lot more entertaining election season.

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